Bihar Assembly Elections | Exit polls project edge for RJD-led Mahagathbandhan over NDA
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Most of the exit polls additionally predicted RJD to once more emerge as the one largest social gathering within the 243-member Assembly together with a transparent dip within the seat tally of Bihar Chief Minister Nitish Kumar’s JD(U).
Several exit polls on November 7 gave the RJD-led Opposition alliance in Bihar an edge over the ruling NDA whereas a minimum of three of them predicted a transparent majority for the Mahagathbandhan (MGB), which has projected Tejashwi Yadav as its Chief Ministerial face.
Most of the exit polls additionally predicted RJD to once more emerge as the one largest social gathering within the 243-member Assembly together with a transparent dip within the seat tally of Bihar Chief Minister Nitish Kumar’s JD(U).
| NDA | MGB | LJP | Others | |
| Today’s Chanakya-CNN News18 | 55 | 180 | 8 | |
| India Today-Axis My India | 69-91 | 139-161 | 3-5 | 3-5 |
| ABP-CVoter | 104-128 | 108-131 | 1-3 | |
| Times Now-CVoter | 116 | 120 | 1-3 | |
| Republic TV-Jan Ki Baat | 104 | 128 | 7 | 4 |
| TV9 Bharatvarsh | 115 | 120 | 4 | 4 |
Counting of votes for the three-phase Bihar Assembly polls, which ended on November 7, will likely be held on November 10. Exit polls are sometimes primarily based on suggestions from a restricted variety of voters in choose areas and none of them have a 100% accuracy file.
Today’s Chanakya-CNN News18 projected 180 seats for the RJD-led grand alliance, 55 for the NDA and eight for others. The majority mark is 122.
India Today-Axis My India ballot confirmed the RJD-led block successful 139-161 seats, as in opposition to 69-91 for the NDA. It predicted 3-5 seats for LJP and in addition 3-5 for others.
The ABP-CVoter exit ballot predicted NDA to get 104-128 seats and 108-131 seats for the opposition grand alliance. It projected Chirag Paswan-led LJP to get 1-3 seats.
The same development was predicted by Times Now-CVoter, which projected 116 seats for the NDA, 120 for the opposition alliance and a single seat for the LJP. It predicted six seats for others.
Republic TV-Jan Ki Baat exit ballot additionally gave a transparent majority to the RJD-led alliance with 128 seats, whereas it projected 104 seats for the ruling NDA, seven seats for LJP and 4 for others.
TV9 Bharatvarsh projected NDA to win 115 seats, the grand alliance 120 and 4 every for LJP and others.
Vote share
In phrases of vote share, Today’s Chanakya projected 44% for the RJD-led Opposition alliance and 34% for the NDA.
However, ABP-CVoter projected the next vote share for NDA at 37.7% adopted by the grand alliance with 36.3% and 26% for others.
India Today-Axis My India ballot confirmed 44% of respondents want Mr. Yadav as the following Chief Minister, whereas 35% want to give one other probability to Mr. Kumar. It projected 44% vote share for the RJD-led alliance and 39% for the NDA.
Bihar Assembly Elections | Full protection
In the 2015 Assembly elections, the RJD received 80 seats with a vote share of 18%, whereas JD(U) received 71 seats with vote share of 11%. The BJP received 53 seats with 24% vote share and Congress 27 seats with 7percentvotes. At that point, the JD(U) had fought the election in alliance with the RJD and the Congress amongst different events, whereas the LJP was within the BJP-led NDA alliance. The LJP had received two seats with 5% vote share.
This time, the JD(U) is again within the NDA, whereas the LJP fought the election alone. During the 2019 Lok Sabha elections when each the JD(U) and the LJP had been within the NDA, the alliance received 39 out of 40 seats within the State.
Assembly bypolls
Exit polls additionally predicted outcomes for bypolls held in a number of States. According to India Today-Axis My India exit ballot, the BJP authorities in Madhya Pradesh will survive because it projected the social gathering to win 16-18 seats, and Congress is estimated to bag 10-12 of the full 28 seats that went to polls.
Similarly, for bypolls in Uttar Pradesh, the exit ballot predicted BJP to win 5-6 seats, SP 1-2 seats and BSP 0-1 seat, out of the eight seats for which polling was held on November 3.
In Gujarat the place voting occurred for eight seats on November 3, the identical exit ballot projected BJP to win 6-7 Assembly seats and Congress a single seat. The BJP is in energy in Gujarat in addition to in Uttar Pradesh.
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